The Next Challenge for Bay Area Multifamily: Capital Allocation Discipline
Over the past several months, much of the conversation surrounding Bay Area multifamily has focused on stabilization. Transaction activity is beginning to return. Rent growth has moved back into positive territory. I nvestors are slowly re-entering the market, after several years of volatility. However, this stabilization does not necessarily mean the difficult decisions are behind us. In many cases, the next phase of the cycle will demand a different kind of discipline from asset managers: capital allocation discipline. The End of Easy Capital For much of the previous decade, capital was abundant and inexpensive. Debt financing was readily available, refinancing assumptions were relatively predictable, and many investment strategies relied on aggressive value-add timelines supported by strong rent growth. Then the past few years came along and disrupted that environment. Interest rates increased rapidly. Debt markets tightened. Exit pricing became les...